1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.96
xG Away
2.10
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives León FC an expected 1.0 goals and Toluca an expected 2.1 goals. León FC have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Toluca at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
10.3%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.9%
1:1
9.5%
0:3
7.2%
1:3
6.9%
2:2
4.8%
0:0
4.7%
2:1
4.5%
1:0
4.5%
0:4
3.8%
1:4
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toluca Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| León FC | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 5 |
| 22 | Points | 30 |
| 41% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
Venue Form
León FC at Home
W3
D0
L2
(5 games)
Toluca Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
León FC
W
W
L
L
W
Toluca
D
W
W
L
L
