1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.66
xG Away
1.52
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Necaxa an expected 1.7 goals and FC Juarez an expected 1.5 goals. Necaxa have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and FC Juarez at 35%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.5%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
8%
1:0
6.9%
2:2
6.6%
0:1
6.3%
2:0
5.7%
3:1
4.8%
0:2
4.8%
0:0
4.2%
1:3
4%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Necaxa Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Necaxa | FC Juarez | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 12 |
| 18 | Points | 19 |
| 29% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Necaxa at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
FC Juarez Away
W0
D0
L5
(5 games)
Recent Form
Necaxa
L
L
D
D
FC Juarez
L
L
L
L
L
