Tokyo Verdy vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction

Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 24 May 2026 · J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
1 24%
Home Win 4.18
X 34%
Draw 2.98
2 43%
Away Win 2.35
xG Home 0.67
xG Away 1.01
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
BTTS 31%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.7 goals and Yokohama F. Marinos an expected 1.0 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 34%, and Yokohama F. Marinos at 43%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 18.7%
0:0 18.6%
1:1 12.6%
1:0 12.5%
0:2 9.5%
1:2 6.4%
2:1 4.3%
2:0 4.2%
0:3 3.2%
2:2 2.2%
1:3 2.1%
3:1 1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Tokyo Verdy Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Tokyo Verdy Yokohama F. Marinos
17 League Position 15
43 Points 43
29% Win % 32%
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Tokyo Verdy at Home
W3 D0 L0 (3 games)
100% win rate
Yokohama F. Marinos Away
W2 D1 L2 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Tokyo Verdy
W W W
Yokohama F. Marinos
D L W W L

Head to Head

28 Feb 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos 3 : 2 Tokyo Verdy
L
09 Aug 2025 J1 League
Tokyo Verdy 1 : 0 Yokohama F. Marinos
L
05 Apr 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos 0 : 0 Tokyo Verdy
D