1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tokyo Verdy an expected 0.8 goals and Gamba Osaka an expected 1.2 goals. Tokyo Verdy have a 25% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Gamba Osaka at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.5%
0:0
14.2%
1:1
13%
1:0
11.2%
0:2
9.6%
1:2
7.6%
2:1
5.1%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
3.7%
2:2
3%
1:3
2.9%
3:1
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gamba Osaka Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Tokyo Verdy | Gamba Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 9 |
| 43 | Points | 57 |
| 29% | Win % | 45% |
| 0.61 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Tokyo Verdy at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
Gamba Osaka Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Tokyo Verdy
W
D
L
W
W
Gamba Osaka
L
W
L
L
Head to Head
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1
Tokyo Verdy
D
Gamba Osaka
4 : 1
Tokyo Verdy
L
Tokyo Verdy
0 : 1
Gamba Osaka
W
