1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.45
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Tigres UANL an expected 2.4 goals and León FC an expected 0.9 goals. Tigres UANL have a 71% win probability, draw stands at 17%, and León FC at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.3%
2:1
9.5%
1:0
8.4%
3:0
8.4%
1:1
7.8%
3:1
7.8%
4:0
5.1%
4:1
4.7%
2:2
4.4%
1:2
3.6%
3:2
3.6%
0:0
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tigres UANL Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 71% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.41 |
| Market Odds | 1.5 |
Team Comparison
| Tigres UANL | León FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 10 |
| 25 | Points | 22 |
| 41% | Win % | 41% |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.88 |
Venue Form
Tigres UANL at Home
W3
D0
L0
(3 games)
León FC Away
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Tigres UANL
W
W
W
León FC
D
L
L
L
