1
28%
Home Win
3.55
X
25%
Draw
3.95
2
47%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
1.14
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sunderland an expected 1.1 goals and Manchester United an expected 1.5 goals. Sunderland have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Manchester United at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
0:1
10.5%
1:2
9.3%
0:2
8.1%
1:0
7.8%
2:1
6.9%
0:0
6.8%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
4.8%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:3
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| Sunderland | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 3 |
| 54 | Points | 71 |
| 37% | Win % | 53% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Sunderland at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Manchester United Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sunderland
D
L
Manchester United
D
D
W
Head to Head
Sunderland
0 : 0
Manchester United
D
Manchester United
2 : 0
Sunderland
L
