1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sunderland an expected 1.3 goals and Leeds an expected 1.1 goals. Sunderland have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Leeds at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13%
1:0
11.9%
0:1
10.2%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
8.3%
2:0
7.6%
1:2
7.1%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.6%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sunderland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Sunderland | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 14 |
| 54 | Points | 47 |
| 37% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Sunderland at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Leeds Away
W0
D4
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sunderland
D
L
D
L
Leeds
D
D
D
D
