1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.80
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Chelsea an expected 1.8 goals and Tottenham an expected 1.2 goals. Chelsea have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Tottenham at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
9.3%
2:0
8.4%
1:2
6.3%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.8%
2:2
5.7%
0:0
5.2%
3:0
5%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Chelsea Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Chelsea | Tottenham | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 17 |
| 52 | Points | 41 |
| 37% | Win % | 26% |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Chelsea at Home
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Tottenham Away
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Chelsea
L
D
L
L
W
Tottenham
W
D
W
W
