1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.23
xG Away
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Crystal Palace an expected 1.2 goals and Newcastle United an expected 1.3 goals. Crystal Palace have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Newcastle United at 37%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.9%
0:1
10.5%
1:0
10.2%
0:0
8.3%
1:2
8.1%
2:1
7.9%
0:2
6.6%
2:0
6.3%
2:2
5%
1:3
3.4%
3:1
3.2%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Newcastle United Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 37% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.7 |
| Market Odds | 2.88 |
Team Comparison
| Crystal Palace | Newcastle United | |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | League Position | 12 |
| 45 | Points | 49 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Crystal Palace at Home
W0
D2
L2
(4 games)
Newcastle United Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Crystal Palace
L
L
D
D
Newcastle United
W
L
D
L
