1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
0.59
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Arsenal an expected 1.9 goals and Everton an expected 0.6 goals. Arsenal have a 69% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Everton at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
15.5%
2:0
15%
3:0
9.6%
1:1
9.2%
2:1
8.9%
0:0
8%
3:1
5.7%
0:1
4.7%
4:0
4.6%
4:1
2.8%
1:2
2.7%
2:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Arsenal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 69% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.45 |
| Market Odds | 1.54 |
Team Comparison
| Arsenal | Everton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 13 |
| 85 | Points | 49 |
| 68% | Win % | 34% |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Arsenal at Home
W5
D0
L1
(6 games)
Everton Away
W0
D2
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
Arsenal
W
W
W
W
W
Everton
L
D
D
L
L
