1
38%
Home Win
2.61
X
29%
Draw
3.46
2
33%
Away Win
3.06
xG Home
1.17
xG Away
1.05
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sunderland an expected 1.2 goals and Fulham an expected 1.1 goals. Sunderland have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Fulham at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.4%
1:0
12.7%
0:1
11.5%
0:0
10.9%
2:1
7.8%
2:0
7.4%
1:2
7%
0:2
6%
2:2
4.1%
3:1
3%
3:0
2.9%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sunderland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Sunderland | Fulham | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 11 |
| 54 | Points | 52 |
| 37% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.34 |
Venue Form
Sunderland at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Fulham Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sunderland
D
L
Fulham
L
D
W
