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Sunderland vs Chelsea — Prediction

Sunderland Sunderland
1 – 2
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Premier League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Chelsea Chelsea

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC
Competition
Premier League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Sunderland
  • Coventry 3–1 Sunderland
  • Sunderland 3–2 Brentford
  • Sunderland 0–0 Leeds
  • Bournemouth 2–0 Sunderland
  • Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland
Chelsea
  • Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United
  • Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
  • Chelsea 0–2 Tottenham
  • Everton 0–2 Chelsea
  • Brentford 3–0 Chelsea
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Sunderland 9 · Chelsea 9. Data saved: 2026-11-06 03:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Chelsea 62% · 2026-11-07 00:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.04
Model goal expectation · 2 2.74
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
BTTS 60%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Sunderland 1.04 · Chelsea 2.74.
1 12% · X 15% · 2 73%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:2 8.9%
0:2 8.6%
1:3 8.1%
0:3 7.8%
1:1 6.5%
0:1 6.3%
1:4 5.6%
0:4 5.4%
2:2 4.6%
2:3 4.2%
2:1 3.4%
2:4 2.9%

About this assessment

Model outcome Chelsea Win
Probability 73%
Predicted Odds 1.37

Team Comparison

Sunderland Chelsea
20 League Position 4
5 Points 16
11% Win % 56%
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67

Venue Form

Sunderland at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Chelsea Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Sunderland
L W D L L
Chelsea
W D L W L

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02

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03

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Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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