1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.11
xG Away
1.97
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
58%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Strasbourg an expected 1.1 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 2.0 goals. Strasbourg have a 21% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Paris Saint Germain at 57%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.1%
1:2
9.9%
0:1
9.1%
0:2
8.9%
1:3
6.5%
0:3
5.8%
2:1
5.6%
2:2
5.5%
1:0
5.1%
0:0
4.6%
2:3
3.6%
1:4
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Paris Saint Germain Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 57% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.75 |
| Market Odds | 1.87 |
Team Comparison
| Strasbourg | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 1 |
| 53 | Points | 76 |
| 44% | Win % | 71% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.18 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.85 |
Venue Form
Strasbourg at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Paris Saint Germain Away
W4
D0
L0
(4 games)
Recent Form
Strasbourg
L
L
W
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
W
