1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.18
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Lens an expected 2.2 goals and Paris FC an expected 0.9 goals. Lens have a 66% win probability, draw stands at 19%, and Paris FC at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.9%
1:0
9.7%
1:1
9%
3:0
7.7%
3:1
7.2%
2:2
4.6%
0:0
4.5%
1:2
4.2%
4:0
4.2%
0:1
4.2%
4:1
3.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lens Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 66% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.52 |
| Market Odds | 1.61 |
Team Comparison
| Lens | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 11 |
| 70 | Points | 44 |
| 65% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.47 |
Venue Form
Lens at Home
W1
D0
L2
(3 games)
Paris FC Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Lens
L
L
W
Paris FC
W
L
W
