Angers vs Lorient Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Ligue 1
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.98
xG Away 1.30
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Angers an expected 1.0 goals and Lorient an expected 1.3 goals. Angers have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Lorient at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.3%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.2%
1:0 10%
0:2 8.7%
1:2 8.5%
2:1 6.4%
2:0 4.9%
2:2 4.1%
0:3 3.8%
1:3 3.7%
3:1 2.1%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Lorient Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Team Comparison

Angers Lorient
13 League Position 9
36 Points 45
26% Win % 32%
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.41 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5

Venue Form

Angers at Home
W0 D3 L2 (5 games)
0% win rate
Lorient Away
W2 D3 L0 (5 games)
40% win rate

Recent Form

Angers
D L D L D
Lorient
D W W D D