1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.98
xG Away
1.30
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Angers an expected 1.0 goals and Lorient an expected 1.3 goals. Angers have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Lorient at 44%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.3%
1:1
13%
0:0
10.2%
1:0
10%
0:2
8.7%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
6.4%
2:0
4.9%
2:2
4.1%
0:3
3.8%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lorient Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 44% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.27 |
| Market Odds | 2.42 |
Team Comparison
| Angers | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 9 |
| 36 | Points | 45 |
| 26% | Win % | 32% |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Angers at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Lorient Away
W2
D3
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Angers
D
L
D
L
D
Lorient
D
W
W
D
D