1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.53
xG Away
1.13
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Toulouse an expected 1.5 goals and Estac Troyes an expected 1.1 goals. Toulouse have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Estac Troyes at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
1:0
10.7%
2:1
9.2%
2:0
8.2%
0:1
7.9%
0:0
7%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
4.7%
0:2
4.5%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Toulouse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Venue Form
Toulouse at Home
W1
D3
L0
(4 games)
Estac Troyes Away
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Recent Form
Toulouse
D
W
D
D
Estac Troyes
D
L
L
