1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.83
xG Away
0.82
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Marseille an expected 1.8 goals and LE Havre AC an expected 0.8 goals. Marseille have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and LE Havre AC at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
2:0
11.9%
1:1
10.6%
2:1
9.7%
3:0
7.3%
0:0
7.1%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5.8%
1:2
4.3%
2:2
4%
4:0
3.3%
4:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Marseille Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Marseille | LE Havre AC | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 14 |
| 59 | Points | 35 |
| 53% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.94 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
Venue Form
Marseille at Home
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
LE Havre AC Away
W0
D2
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Marseille
W
L
L
D
W
LE Havre AC
L
D
D
