Strasbourg vs Monaco Prediction

2 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 · Ligue 1
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 2.07
xG Away 1.60
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
BTTS 70%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Strasbourg an expected 2.1 goals and Monaco an expected 1.6 goals. Strasbourg have a 49% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Monaco at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 71%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:1 8.7%
1:1 8.5%
2:2 7%
1:2 6.8%
3:1 6%
2:0 5.5%
1:0 5.3%
3:2 4.8%
0:1 4.1%
3:0 3.8%
2:3 3.7%
1:3 3.6%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Strasbourg Win
Probability 49%
Predicted Odds 2.04
Market Odds 2.17

Team Comparison

Strasbourg Monaco
8 League Position 7
53 Points 54
44% Win % 47%
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59

Venue Form

Strasbourg at Home
W1 D0 L2 (3 games)
33% win rate
Monaco Away
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Strasbourg
L L W
Monaco
W D D