1
46%
Home Win
2.18
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
28%
Away Win
3.57
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 1.5 goals and ST Johnstone an expected 1.1 goals. St. Mirren have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and ST Johnstone at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
8.3%
0:0
7.6%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
5%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Mirren Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Venue Form
St. Mirren at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
ST Johnstone Away
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
St. Mirren
L
L
D
ST Johnstone
L
Head to Head
ST Mirren
0 : 1
ST Johnstone
W
ST Johnstone
2 : 3
ST Mirren
W
ST Mirren
3 : 1
ST Johnstone
L
