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St. Mirren vs Rangers FC — Prediction

0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

St. Mirren
  • Motherwell 1–0 St. Mirren
  • St. Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
  • St. Mirren 2–1 Dundee
  • Aberdeen 3–1 St. Mirren
  • St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee Utd
Rangers FC
  • Heart of Midlothian 2–2 Rangers FC
  • Rangers FC 4–0 ST Johnstone
  • Dundee 2–2 Rangers FC
  • Celtic 0–1 Rangers FC
  • Rangers FC 1–0 Motherwell
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: St. Mirren 33 · Rangers FC 33. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Rangers FC 59% · 2026-11-06 01:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.61
Model goal expectation · 2 1.97
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
BTTS 39%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: St. Mirren 0.61 · Rangers FC 1.97.
1 10% · X 20% · 2 70%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 15%
0:2 14.8%
0:3 9.7%
1:1 9.1%
1:2 8.9%
0:0 7.6%
1:3 5.9%
0:4 4.8%
1:0 4.6%
1:4 2.9%
2:1 2.8%
2:2 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Rangers FC Win
Probability 70%
Predicted Odds 1.43

Team Comparison

St. Mirren Rangers FC
10 League Position 2
30 Points 69
21% Win % 58%
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94

Venue Form

St. Mirren at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Rangers FC Away
W1 D2 L0 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

St. Mirren
L D W L L
Rangers FC
D W D W W

Head to Head

22 Aug 2026 scottish
Rangers FC 1 : 0 St. Mirren
L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.