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Aberdeen vs Hibernian — Prediction

0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen 0–1 Falkirk
  • Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen 3–1 St. Mirren
  • Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen
  • Aberdeen 0–0 Kilmarnock
Hibernian
  • St. Mirren 1–1 Hibernian
  • Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
  • Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk
  • Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen
  • ST Johnstone 2–1 Hibernian
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Aberdeen 33 · Hibernian 33. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Hibernian 44% · 2026-11-06 01:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.88
Model goal expectation · 2 1.52
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
BTTS 46%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Aberdeen 0.88 · Hibernian 1.52.
1 22% · X 26% · 2 52%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.7%
1:1 12.1%
0:2 10.4%
1:2 9.2%
0:0 9%
1:0 8%
2:1 5.4%
0:3 5.3%
1:3 4.7%
2:2 4.1%
2:0 3.5%
2:3 2.1%

About this assessment

Model outcome Hibernian Win
Probability 52%
Predicted Odds 1.92

Team Comparison

Aberdeen Hibernian
8 League Position 5
33 Points 51
27% Win % 39%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12

Venue Form

Aberdeen at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Hibernian Away
W0 D1 L1 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Aberdeen
L L W D D
Hibernian
D L L D L

Head to Head

19 Sep 2026 scottish
Hibernian 1 : 1 Aberdeen
D

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.