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Dundee Utd vs Motherwell — Prediction

0 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
7 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Dundee Utd
  • Celtic 2–2 Dundee Utd
  • Dundee Utd 3–2 Aberdeen
  • ST Johnstone 1–1 Dundee Utd
  • St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee Utd
  • Dundee Utd 1–1 Falkirk
Motherwell
  • Motherwell 1–0 St. Mirren
  • ST Johnstone 2–2 Motherwell
  • Motherwell 0–2 Heart of Midlothian
  • Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
  • Dundee 2–1 Motherwell
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Dundee Utd 33 · Motherwell 33. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Dundee Utd 39% · 2026-11-06 01:20 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 0.95
Model goal expectation · 2 1.74
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 50%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Dundee Utd 0.95 · Motherwell 1.74.
1 20% · X 24% · 2 56%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 11.8%
1:1 11.2%
0:2 10.3%
1:2 9.8%
0:0 6.8%
1:0 6.4%
0:3 6%
1:3 5.7%
2:1 5.3%
2:2 4.6%
2:0 3%
2:3 2.7%

About this assessment

Model outcome Motherwell Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79

Team Comparison

Dundee Utd Motherwell
7 League Position 4
40 Points 54
27% Win % 42%
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88

Venue Form

Dundee Utd at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Motherwell Away
W0 D1 L2 (3 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Dundee Utd
D W D W D
Motherwell
W D L L L

Read the forecast alongside the match

A practical guide to the information shown here.

01

Read the selected market

A match-winner selection and a goal total answer different questions. Read the outcome before comparing percentages.

02

Check the recording time

A saved estimate belongs to its recording time. Check kickoff and the available match context separately.

03

Inspect comparable outcomes

Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

Inspect the prediction record →

Continue the match analysis

Useful next steps within VARiM.

Questions about this context

Answers to help interpret the available information.

Are these probabilities a guarantee?

No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

Only relevant fixtures with a verified saved record are shown. The match and prediction catalogues may contain other available information.