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Celtic vs Kilmarnock — Prediction

Celtic Celtic
2 – 0
Most likely score (model)
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
8 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Scottish Premiership
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Celtic
  • Celtic 2–2 Dundee Utd
  • Hibernian 1–2 Celtic
  • Celtic 7–1 Heart of Midlothian
  • Motherwell 0–2 Celtic
  • Celtic 0–1 Rangers FC
Kilmarnock
  • Kilmarnock 2–2 ST Johnstone
  • Dundee 3–1 Kilmarnock
  • Falkirk 3–0 Kilmarnock
  • Kilmarnock 3–2 Motherwell
  • Kilmarnock 1–1 Heart of Midlothian
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Celtic 33 · Kilmarnock 33. Data saved: 2026-11-03 23:30 UTC.

Table season: 2025

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Celtic 60% · 2026-11-07 00:50 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 2.78
Model goal expectation · 2 0.80
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
BTTS 52%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Celtic 2.78 · Kilmarnock 0.80.
1 78% · X 13% · 2 8%.

Correct Score Predictions

2:0 10.7%
3:0 9.9%
2:1 8.6%
3:1 8%
1:0 7.7%
4:0 6.9%
1:1 6.2%
4:1 5.6%
2:2 3.5%
3:2 3.2%
0:0 2.8%
1:2 2.5%

About this assessment

Model outcome Celtic Win
Probability 78%
Predicted Odds 1.28

Team Comparison

Celtic Kilmarnock
3 League Position 11
67 Points 28
64% Win % 18%
1.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.97

Venue Form

Celtic at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Kilmarnock Away
W0 D0 L2 (2 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Celtic
D W W W L
Kilmarnock
D L L W D

More Scottish Premiership Predictions

Aberdeen vs Hibernian
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 52%
Dundee Utd vs Motherwell
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 56%
ST Johnstone vs Dundee
Sat 07 Nov
St. Mirren vs Rangers FC
Sat 07 Nov Tip: 2 · 70%
Heart of Midlothian vs Falkirk
Sun 08 Nov Tip: 1 · 66%

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01

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02

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03

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Use a defined period, sample and market when comparing results. A probability is not a historical hit rate.

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No. A probability describes a model estimate for a particular selection and recording time; the actual match can finish differently.

Why might this page have no related saved forecasts?

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