1
13%
Home Win
7.47
X
25%
Draw
3.97
2
61%
Away Win
1.63
xG Home
0.57
xG Away
1.55
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 0.6 goals and Motherwell an expected 1.6 goals. St. Mirren have a 13% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Motherwell at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
18.7%
0:2
14.5%
0:0
12%
1:1
10.6%
1:2
8.2%
0:3
7.5%
1:0
6.8%
1:3
4.2%
2:1
3%
0:4
2.9%
2:2
2.3%
2:0
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Motherwell Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| St. Mirren | Motherwell | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 4 |
| 30 | Points | 54 |
| 21% | Win % | 42% |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
Venue Form
St. Mirren at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Motherwell Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
St. Mirren
L
L
D
Motherwell
L
W
