1
40%
Home Win
2.49
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
32%
Away Win
3.12
xG Home
1.27
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 1.3 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 1.1 goals. St. Mirren have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Kilmarnock at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.1%
1:0
11.8%
0:1
10.3%
0:0
9.3%
2:1
8.3%
2:0
7.5%
1:2
7.2%
0:2
5.7%
2:2
4.6%
3:1
3.5%
3:0
3.2%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Mirren Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| St. Mirren | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 11 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 21% | Win % | 18% |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
St. Mirren at Home
W0
D1
L3
(4 games)
Kilmarnock Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
St. Mirren
L
L
L
D
Kilmarnock
D
W
L