1
46%
Home Win
2.18
X
26%
Draw
3.85
2
28%
Away Win
3.57
xG Home
1.48
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
51%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives ST Johnstone an expected 1.5 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 1.1 goals. ST Johnstone have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Kilmarnock at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
11.3%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.4%
2:0
8.3%
0:0
7.6%
1:2
6.8%
2:2
5%
0:2
4.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4.1%
1:3
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | ST Johnstone Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Venue Form
Kilmarnock Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Kilmarnock
W
L
