ST Johnstone vs Hibernian Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 · Scottish Premiership
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.48
xG Away 1.09
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
BTTS 51%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives ST Johnstone an expected 1.5 goals and Hibernian an expected 1.1 goals. ST Johnstone have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Hibernian at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.3%
1:0 11.3%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.4%
2:0 8.3%
0:0 7.6%
1:2 6.8%
2:2 5%
0:2 4.6%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick ST Johnstone Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Venue Form

ST Johnstone at Home
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate
Hibernian Away
W2 D0 L2 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

ST Johnstone
D L W
Hibernian
L W W L