1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.57
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Dundee Utd an expected 1.6 goals and Aberdeen an expected 1.1 goals. Dundee Utd have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Aberdeen at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12%
1:0
10.8%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
8.5%
0:1
7.7%
0:0
6.9%
1:2
6.6%
2:2
5.2%
3:1
4.9%
3:0
4.4%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Dundee Utd Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Dundee Utd | Aberdeen | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | League Position | 8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 27% | Win % | 27% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.45 |
Venue Form
Dundee Utd at Home
W2
D3
L1
(6 games)
Aberdeen Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Dundee Utd
W
D
D
D
W
Aberdeen
L
D
W
D
