St. Mirren vs Dundee Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Scottish Premiership
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.04
xG Away 1.01
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
BTTS 41%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives St. Mirren an expected 1.0 goals and Dundee an expected 1.0 goals. St. Mirren have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Dundee at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 66%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.5%
1:0 13.3%
0:1 13%
0:0 12.9%
2:1 7%
2:0 6.9%
1:2 6.9%
0:2 6.6%
2:2 3.6%
3:1 2.4%
3:0 2.4%
1:3 2.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick St. Mirren Win
Probability 35%
Predicted Odds 2.86
Market Odds 3.04

Team Comparison

St. Mirren Dundee
10 League Position 9
30 Points 33
21% Win % 24%
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61

Venue Form

St. Mirren at Home
W1 D1 L4 (6 games)
17% win rate
Dundee Away
W1 D0 L4 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

St. Mirren
W L L L L
Dundee
L L L L W