1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.12
xG Away
1.10
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Falkirk an expected 2.1 goals and Kilmarnock an expected 1.1 goals. Falkirk have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Kilmarnock at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9.9%
1:1
9.3%
2:0
8.9%
1:0
8.4%
3:1
7%
3:0
6.3%
2:2
5.4%
1:2
5.1%
0:1
4.4%
0:0
4%
3:2
3.8%
4:1
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Falkirk Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 61% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.64 |
| Market Odds | 1.74 |
Team Comparison
| Falkirk | Kilmarnock | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 11 |
| 46 | Points | 28 |
| 39% | Win % | 18% |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.97 |
Venue Form
Falkirk at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Kilmarnock Away
W2
D1
L2
(5 games)
Recent Form
Falkirk
W
W
L
W
Kilmarnock
L
W
D
W
L
