1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Hibernian an expected 1.3 goals and Celtic an expected 1.4 goals. Hibernian have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Celtic at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
9.6%
1:0
9.1%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8%
0:0
7.1%
0:2
6.5%
2:0
5.9%
2:2
5.4%
1:3
3.8%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Celtic Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Hibernian | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 3 |
| 51 | Points | 67 |
| 39% | Win % | 64% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.79 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
Venue Form
Hibernian at Home
W0
D1
L4
(5 games)
Celtic Away
W6
D0
L0
(6 games)
Recent Form
Hibernian
L
D
L
L
L
Celtic
W
W
W
W
W
