1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.61
xG Away
1.19
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Columbus Crew an expected 1.6 goals and Toronto FC an expected 1.2 goals. Columbus Crew have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Toronto FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.6%
1:0
9.8%
2:1
9.4%
2:0
7.9%
0:1
7.2%
1:2
6.9%
0:0
6.1%
2:2
5.6%
3:1
5%
0:2
4.3%
3:0
4.2%
3:2
3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Columbus Crew Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Venue Form
Columbus Crew at Home
W4
D0
L1
(5 games)
Toronto FC Away
W0
D0
L3
(3 games)
Recent Form
Columbus Crew
W
L
W
W
W
Toronto FC
L
L
L
