New York Red Bulls vs Inter Miami Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.61
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives New York Red Bulls an expected 1.6 goals and Inter Miami an expected 1.2 goals. New York Red Bulls have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Inter Miami at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:0 9.8%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.9%
0:1 7.2%
1:2 6.9%
0:0 6.1%
2:2 5.6%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick New York Red Bulls Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Venue Form

New York Red Bulls at Home
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate
Inter Miami Away
W3 D1 L1 (5 games)
60% win rate

Recent Form

New York Red Bulls
W L D W
Inter Miami
L D W W W