1
75%
Home Win
1.33
X
16%
Draw
6.19
2
9%
Away Win
11.3
xG Home
2.36
xG Away
0.67
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
44%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sporting CP an expected 2.4 goals and GIL Vicente an expected 0.7 goals. Sporting CP have a 75% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and GIL Vicente at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
13.4%
1:0
11.4%
3:0
10.5%
2:1
9%
1:1
7.7%
3:1
7.1%
4:0
6.2%
0:0
4.8%
4:1
4.2%
0:1
3.3%
2:2
3%
1:2
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 75% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.33 |
| Market Odds | 1.42 |
Team Comparison
| Sporting CP | GIL Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 6 |
| 82 | Points | 50 |
| 74% | Win % | 38% |
| 2.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
Venue Form
Sporting CP at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
GIL Vicente Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Sporting CP
W
D
L
GIL Vicente
D
