1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.32
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sparta Rotterdam an expected 1.3 goals and Excelsior an expected 1.3 goals. Sparta Rotterdam have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Excelsior at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
9.4%
1:0
9.2%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8.1%
0:0
7%
0:2
6.3%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
5.5%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.6%
0:3
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Excelsior Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Sparta Rotterdam | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | League Position | 13 |
| 43 | Points | 38 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
Venue Form
Sparta Rotterdam at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Excelsior Away
W1
D2
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam
L
L
D
Excelsior
L
D
D
W
Head to Head
Excelsior
0 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
W
Sparta Rotterdam
4 : 2
Excelsior
L
Excelsior
2 : 1
Sparta Rotterdam
L
