1
35%
Home Win
2.83
X
32%
Draw
3.14
2
33%
Away Win
3.04
xG Home
0.97
xG Away
0.93
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
38%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Shimizu S-Pulse an expected 1.0 goals and Avispa Fukuoka an expected 0.9 goals. Shimizu S-Pulse have a 35% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Avispa Fukuoka at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
15%
1:0
14.5%
0:1
13.9%
1:1
13.5%
2:0
7.1%
2:1
6.6%
0:2
6.4%
1:2
6.3%
2:2
3%
3:0
2.3%
3:1
2.1%
0:3
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Shimizu S-Pulse Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 35% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.86 |
| Market Odds | 3.04 |
Team Comparison
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | League Position | 12 |
| 44 | Points | 48 |
| 29% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.89 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
Venue Form
Shimizu S-Pulse at Home
W0
D3
L2
(5 games)
Avispa Fukuoka Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
D
D
L
L
Avispa Fukuoka
W
D
L
W
