1
52%
Home Win
1.92
X
23%
Draw
4.3
2
25%
Away Win
4.04
xG Home
1.79
xG Away
1.16
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
57%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sassuolo an expected 1.8 goals and Torino an expected 1.2 goals. Sassuolo have a 52% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Torino at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.9%
2:1
9.7%
1:0
9.4%
2:0
8.4%
1:2
6.3%
0:1
6.1%
3:1
5.8%
2:2
5.7%
0:0
5.2%
3:0
5%
0:2
3.5%
3:2
3.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sassuolo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 52% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.92 |
| Market Odds | 2.05 |
Team Comparison
| Sassuolo | Torino | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 12 |
| 49 | Points | 45 |
| 37% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
Venue Form
Sassuolo at Home
W1
D0
L0
(1 games)
Torino Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Sassuolo
W
Torino
L
D
W
