1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.15
xG Away
1.51
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 1.1 goals and Querétaro an expected 1.5 goals. Santos Laguna have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Querétaro at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.1%
0:1
10.6%
1:2
9.2%
1:0
8%
0:2
8%
0:0
7%
2:1
7%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
4.6%
2:0
4.6%
0:3
4%
3:1
2.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Querétaro Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Santos Laguna | Querétaro | |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | League Position | 11 |
| 12 | Points | 20 |
| 18% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 2.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
Venue Form
Santos Laguna at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Querétaro Away
W4
D1
L0
(5 games)
Recent Form
Santos Laguna
W
W
W
L
Querétaro
W
W
W
W
D