Santos Laguna vs Querétaro Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · Liga MX
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.15
xG Away 1.51
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Santos Laguna an expected 1.1 goals and Querétaro an expected 1.5 goals. Santos Laguna have a 29% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Querétaro at 46%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
0:1 10.6%
1:2 9.2%
1:0 8%
0:2 8%
0:0 7%
2:1 7%
2:2 5.3%
1:3 4.6%
2:0 4.6%
0:3 4%
3:1 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Querétaro Win
Probability 46%
Predicted Odds 2.17
Market Odds 2.31

Team Comparison

Santos Laguna Querétaro
18 League Position 11
12 Points 20
18% Win % 24%
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24

Venue Form

Santos Laguna at Home
W3 D0 L1 (4 games)
75% win rate
Querétaro Away
W4 D1 L0 (5 games)
80% win rate

Recent Form

Santos Laguna
W W W L
Querétaro
W W W W D