1
55%
Home Win
1.83
X
25%
Draw
4.06
2
21%
Away Win
4.85
xG Home
1.64
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima an expected 1.6 goals and Cerezo Osaka an expected 0.9 goals. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 55% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Cerezo Osaka at 21%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13%
1:1
11.7%
2:0
10.6%
2:1
9.5%
0:0
7.9%
0:1
7.1%
3:0
5.8%
1:2
5.2%
3:1
5.2%
2:2
4.3%
0:2
3.2%
4:0
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 55% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.82 |
| Market Odds | 1.93 |
Team Comparison
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Cerezo Osaka | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 10 |
| 68 | Points | 52 |
| 53% | Win % | 37% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.58 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
Venue Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Cerezo Osaka Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
D
W
W
Cerezo Osaka
W
D
L
W
