San Diego vs Seattle Sounders Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 25 Oct 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.93
xG Away 1.28
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
BTTS 62%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives San Diego an expected 1.9 goals and Seattle Sounders an expected 1.3 goals. San Diego have a 53% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Seattle Sounders at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 10%
2:1 9.6%
1:0 7.8%
2:0 7.5%
1:2 6.4%
3:1 6.2%
2:2 6.1%
0:1 5.2%
3:0 4.8%
0:0 4.1%
3:2 3.9%
0:2 3.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick San Diego Win
Probability 53%
Predicted Odds 1.89
Market Odds 2.01

Team Comparison

San Diego Seattle Sounders
1 League Position 5
63 Points 55
56% Win % 44%
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41

Venue Form

San Diego at Home
W1 D2 L4 (7 games)
14% win rate
Seattle Sounders Away
W1 D4 L0 (5 games)
20% win rate

Recent Form

San Diego
D L L W D
Seattle Sounders
D D D D W