1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
2.53
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
74%
BTTS
67%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives San Diego an expected 2.5 goals and San Jose Earthquakes an expected 1.3 goals. San Diego have a 63% win probability, draw stands at 18%, and San Jose Earthquakes at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 74%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:1
9%
3:1
7.6%
1:1
7.1%
2:0
6.8%
2:2
5.9%
3:0
5.7%
1:0
5.4%
3:2
5%
4:1
4.8%
1:2
4.7%
4:0
3.6%
4:2
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | San Diego Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| San Diego | San Jose Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 10 |
| 63 | Points | 41 |
| 56% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
San Diego at Home
W1
D2
L4
(7 games)
San Jose Earthquakes Away
W3
D2
L3
(8 games)
Recent Form
San Diego
D
L
L
W
D
San Jose Earthquakes
L
W
D
L
D