Real Salt Lake vs New York City FC Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 · Major League Soccer
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.61
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Salt Lake an expected 1.6 goals and New York City FC an expected 1.2 goals. Real Salt Lake have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and New York City FC at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:0 9.8%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.9%
0:1 7.2%
1:2 6.9%
0:0 6.1%
2:2 5.6%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Real Salt Lake Win
Probability 47%
Predicted Odds 2.13
Market Odds 2.26

Venue Form

Real Salt Lake at Home
W5 D1 L4 (10 games)
50% win rate
New York City FC Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Real Salt Lake
W W L L D
New York City FC
W L W