1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.85
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Puebla an expected 0.9 goals and Monterrey an expected 1.3 goals. Puebla have a 24% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Monterrey at 48%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
15%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
11.2%
0:2
10%
1:0
9.5%
1:2
8.5%
2:1
5.4%
0:3
4.5%
2:0
4.1%
1:3
3.8%
2:2
3.6%
2:3
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 48% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.08 |
| Market Odds | 2.22 |
Team Comparison
| Puebla | Monterrey | |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | League Position | 13 |
| 13 | Points | 18 |
| 18% | Win % | 29% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
Venue Form
Puebla at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Monterrey Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Puebla
D
L
L
Monterrey
L
L
