1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.49
xG Away
1.14
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Portland Timbers an expected 1.5 goals and St. Louis City SC an expected 1.1 goals. Portland Timbers have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and St. Louis City SC at 29%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.2%
1:0
10.8%
2:1
9.1%
0:1
8.2%
2:0
8%
0:0
7.2%
1:2
7%
2:2
5.2%
0:2
4.7%
3:1
4.5%
3:0
4%
1:3
2.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Portland Timbers Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Portland Timbers | St. Louis City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 13 |
| 44 | Points | 32 |
| 32% | Win % | 24% |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
Venue Form
Portland Timbers at Home
W4
D1
L1
(6 games)
St. Louis City SC Away
W2
D1
L3
(6 games)
Recent Form
Portland Timbers
W
L
D
W
W
St. Louis City SC
L
D
W
W
L
