1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.29
xG Away
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Legia Warszawa an expected 1.3 goals and Lech Poznan an expected 1.3 goals. Legia Warszawa have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Lech Poznan at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
0:1
9.6%
1:0
9.3%
1:2
8.4%
2:1
8%
0:0
7.2%
0:2
6.5%
2:0
6%
2:2
5.4%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.5%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Lech Poznan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Legia Warszawa | Lech Poznan | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 1 |
| 49 | Points | 60 |
| 35% | Win % | 47% |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.82 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Legia Warszawa at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Lech Poznan Away
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Legia Warszawa
D
W
Lech Poznan
L
W
W
W
