Partick vs St. Mirren Prediction

Partick Partick
1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 21 May 2026 · Premiership
St. Mirren St. Mirren
1 44%
Home Win 2.27
X 25%
Draw 3.92
2 30%
Away Win 3.29
xG Home 1.50
xG Away 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
BTTS 54%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Partick an expected 1.5 goals and St. Mirren an expected 1.2 goals. Partick have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and St. Mirren at 30%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 51%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.1%
2:1 9.1%
0:1 8.1%
2:0 7.6%
1:2 7.3%
0:0 6.7%
2:2 5.4%
0:2 4.8%
3:1 4.5%
3:0 3.8%
1:3 2.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Partick Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Partick at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
St. Mirren Away
W1 D1 L1 (3 games)
33% win rate

Recent Form

Partick
D W
St. Mirren
D W L

Head to Head

08 Mar 2026 FA Cup
ST Mirren 2 : 1 Partick
L
25 Jul 2021 League Cup
ST Mirren 2 : 0 Partick
L
07 Oct 2020 League Cup
ST Mirren 4 : 1 Partick
L