1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.83
xG Away
1.09
Over 2.5 Goals
30%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Parma an expected 0.8 goals and Udinese an expected 1.1 goals. Parma have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Udinese at 41%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16%
0:0
14.6%
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.1%
0:2
8.8%
1:2
7.3%
2:1
5.5%
2:0
5%
0:3
3.2%
2:2
3%
1:3
2.6%
3:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Udinese Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Parma | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | League Position | 10 |
| 45 | Points | 50 |
| 29% | Win % | 37% |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
Venue Form
Parma at Home
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Udinese Away
W1
D1
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
Parma
W
D
L
W
Udinese
L
W
D
L