Genoa vs Juventus Prediction

0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · Serie A
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 0.86
xG Away 1.64
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 47%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Genoa an expected 0.9 goals and Juventus an expected 1.6 goals. Genoa have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Juventus at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 13.4%
1:1 11.6%
0:2 11.1%
1:2 9.5%
0:0 8.2%
1:0 7%
0:3 6.1%
1:3 5.2%
2:1 5%
2:2 4.1%
2:0 3%
0:4 2.5%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Juventus Win
Probability 56%
Predicted Odds 1.79
Market Odds 1.9

Team Comparison

Genoa Juventus
16 League Position 6
41 Points 69
26% Win % 50%
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89

Venue Form

Genoa at Home
W1 D0 L1 (2 games)
50% win rate
Juventus Away
W2 D1 L1 (4 games)
50% win rate

Recent Form

Genoa
W L
Juventus
W L W D