1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
0.86
xG Away
1.64
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Genoa an expected 0.9 goals and Juventus an expected 1.6 goals. Genoa have a 20% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Juventus at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.4%
1:1
11.6%
0:2
11.1%
1:2
9.5%
0:0
8.2%
1:0
7%
0:3
6.1%
1:3
5.2%
2:1
5%
2:2
4.1%
2:0
3%
0:4
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Juventus Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Genoa | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | League Position | 6 |
| 41 | Points | 69 |
| 26% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.34 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.89 |
Venue Form
Genoa at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Juventus Away
W2
D1
L1
(4 games)
Recent Form
Genoa
W
L
Juventus
W
L
W
D