1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.93
xG Away
0.66
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
41%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AS Roma an expected 1.9 goals and Cagliari an expected 0.7 goals. AS Roma have a 68% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Cagliari at 12%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.6%
2:0
14%
1:1
9.5%
2:1
9.2%
3:0
9%
0:0
7.6%
3:1
5.9%
0:1
5%
4:0
4.3%
1:2
3.1%
2:2
3%
4:1
2.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AS Roma Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 68% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.47 |
| Market Odds | 1.56 |
Team Comparison
| AS Roma | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 14 |
| 73 | Points | 43 |
| 61% | Win % | 29% |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
AS Roma at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
Cagliari Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
AS Roma
W
W
W
D
Cagliari
L
D
