1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.50
xG Away
0.91
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives AC Milan an expected 1.5 goals and Bologna an expected 0.9 goals. AC Milan have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Bologna at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
13.5%
1:1
12.2%
2:0
10.2%
2:1
9.2%
0:0
9%
0:1
8.1%
1:2
5.5%
3:0
5.1%
3:1
4.6%
2:2
4.2%
0:2
3.7%
3:2
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | AC Milan Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| AC Milan | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 8 |
| 70 | Points | 56 |
| 53% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
AC Milan at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Bologna Away
W2
D0
L2
(4 games)
Recent Form
AC Milan
W
L
D
Bologna
W
L
W
L
